Centre Advisor Sean McFate's essay on "The Return of Mercenaries, Non-State Conflict, and More Predictions for the Future of Warfare" in Medium discusses the changing nature of war globally and the failure of the West is to adapt. Western powers are already losing on the margins to threats like Russia, China, and others that have made the leap forward and grow bolder each year. Conventional military forces will be replaced by masked ones that offer plausible deniability, and non-kinetic weapons, like deception and influence, will prove decisive. Shadow wars are attractive to anyone who wants to wage war without consequences and so are likely to increase.
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